Saturday, March 10, 2012

Experts Discuss the Dire Consequences of an Israeli or US Attack on Iran


As I've said in a previous blog post, I understand Israel's concern over Iran possibly acquiring nuclear weapons.  And, I understand why Israel (or other neighbors of Iran) might want to launch a "preemptive strike" in order to keep Iran from weaponizing its atomic energy program.

Yet, the ramifications of an Israeli (or US) attack on Iran could be devastating for many reasons.  Here are a few of the things that such an attack might prompt and the people who've talked about these possibilities:
  • Oil could skyrocket to $500 / barrel.
  • All-out war could break out in the region.
  • Iran, which hasn't weaponized it's nukes, might feel pressured to do so.
Colonel Lawrence Wilkerson 
Former Chief of Staff for US Secretary of State Colin Powell

  • Iran is prepared to launch 11,000 missiles on Israel and the United States.
Ghazanfar Roknabadi
Iranian Ambassador to Lebanon

  • Iran could close the Strait of Hormuz with mines, driving up the cost of oil.
  • Extensive conflict could break out between Israel and Hezbollah, or Israel and Hamas.
Mark Fitzpatrick
Director, Non-Proliferation and Disarmament Program,
International Institute for Strategic Studies (IISS)



  • Iran and groups like Hezbollah might engage in terror attacks following an attack on Iran.
Daniel Byman
Counter-terrorism Expert, Brookings Institute

American Truism # 10.


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